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Old 05-09-2006, 08:00 AM   #2
MeatteCen

Join Date
Oct 2005
Posts
507
Senior Member
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Orin,

a few others have explained the stats to me on another forum but I disagree - this is what my brother came up with, if it makes any sense. he's a engineer and knows his math..

You have four suites of cards.

52(cards) * 2(two cards verified) * 4(4 suits) = actually equals 416 to 1.

Since, these are astral events - Each point is unique upon traveling to a different location) and not just a series. Thus, in order to get one card right it is unique -

So I lied saying it was 500 to 1, but now its 400 to 1.


Then my friend Mike posted:

You guessed the correct suit of the first card and that it was a face
card. The number of cards that satisfy this constraint is 3.

On the second guess - which we'll assume corresponded to the 2nd
card, you got the right suit and saw a number card. The number of
cards that would fit that description is 10.

So it's 3 out of 52 (first) and 10 out of 52 (second)
3/52*10/52 = 30/( 2704 ) = 1/90.133 : 90 to 1 odds.
Still very impressive.


So I still don't know who's right or the way its percieved.

Never a less, still the ods getting the suit and the mix-up on the king/jack is very good..

Tvos
MeatteCen is offline


 

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