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Old 08-16-2011, 05:30 AM   #10
myspauyijbv

Join Date
Oct 2005
Posts
449
Senior Member
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I don't get the numbers they present about halfway down the page. They're showing the percentage of their simulations that were "at least as easy" as the average of the real draws. So the ideal number should be 50%. Half the simulations are easier, half are harder. Instead the AO and FO women's draws are almost 100%. That means nearly every one of the thousand simulations gave harder draws than the real ones. This is just as unlikely as the 0% USO draws. I think they're done something really wrong in their analysis.
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