DiscussWorldIssues - Socio-Economic Religion and Political Uncensored Debate - View Single Post - ESPN finds top 2 seeds have had easy draws at USO

**myspauyijbv** · 08-16-2011, 05:13 PM

As I see it, these are basically what are called p-values: probabilities that the result could be achieved in true randomness. With a 100% p-value, there is a 100% chance that the draw would be perfectly random. Usually in statistics, a p-value of something less than 5% is needed for the result to be significant. Since this study had one of .3% for the men and 0% for the women, it'd be significant. Hope that makes sense.

If you're right, then their wording is horrible: "How frequently ESPN's simulated draws came up with average difficulty scores that were at least as low as scores for the actual Grand Slam draws. Percentages closer to 0 indicate a lower likelihood that the actual results are strictly due to random chance."

I would expect about half to be "at least as low" and half to be higher. No?

08-16-2011, 05:13 PM	#21
myspauyijbv Join Date Oct 2005 Posts 449 Senior Member	As I see it, these are basically what are called p-values: probabilities that the result could be achieved in true randomness. With a 100% p-value, there is a 100% chance that the draw would be perfectly random. Usually in statistics, a p-value of something less than 5% is needed for the result to be significant. Since this study had one of .3% for the men and 0% for the women, it'd be significant. Hope that makes sense. If you're right, then their wording is horrible: "How frequently ESPN's simulated draws came up with average difficulty scores that were at least as low as scores for the actual Grand Slam draws. Percentages closer to 0 indicate a lower likelihood that the actual results are strictly due to random chance." I would expect about half to be "at least as low" and half to be higher. No?
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