DiscussWorldIssues - Socio-Economic Religion and Political Uncensored Debate - View Single Post - ESPN finds top 2 seeds have had easy draws at USO

**Vomephems** · 08-17-2011, 01:40 AM

To properly discuss this one needs to understand statistics really well. The analysis itself is not a believe or not believe matter any more than astrophysics or thermodynamics. My rather limited understanding says that the analysis is sound (and thus the draws have been rigged to some extent), but I could easily be wrong...

Do we have any professionals here willing to invest a bit of time for proper analysis?

Does getting an A+ in the one stats course I did make me an expert?

Anyways, I agree that this is way to small a sampling to be statistically relevant. In the course I did 30 was the bare minimum sample size needed to even start considering results - and even that would have a 90 or 95% at best chance of being relevant at best. I didn't read too much into this myself.

I'm sure they could find other random anomlies...ex. maybe at the French Open 7 & 8 have had crazy hard draws. Actually...they do mention that at the French the #1 and #2 women had significantly harder draws - without anomalies like this it actually wouldn't really be random anyways.

08-17-2011, 01:40 AM	#28
Vomephems Join Date Oct 2005 Posts 727 Senior Member	To properly discuss this one needs to understand statistics really well. The analysis itself is not a believe or not believe matter any more than astrophysics or thermodynamics. My rather limited understanding says that the analysis is sound (and thus the draws have been rigged to some extent), but I could easily be wrong... Do we have any professionals here willing to invest a bit of time for proper analysis? Does getting an A+ in the one stats course I did make me an expert? Anyways, I agree that this is way to small a sampling to be statistically relevant. In the course I did 30 was the bare minimum sample size needed to even start considering results - and even that would have a 90 or 95% at best chance of being relevant at best. I didn't read too much into this myself. I'm sure they could find other random anomlies...ex. maybe at the French Open 7 & 8 have had crazy hard draws. Actually...they do mention that at the French the #1 and #2 women had significantly harder draws - without anomalies like this it actually wouldn't really be random anyways.
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