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**bettingonosports** · 11-02-2007, 09:15 PM

Noahath, I think I have to agree with Gem and Samantha.

I have been following Barack Obama’s rise since his speech at the 2004 Democratic National Convention, and what has struck me is how much appeal he seems to have among Americans from a wide political spectrum.

In terms of the racist factor, I tend to agree with Gem’s comments about the desire for change being strong enough for people to move forward on that question.

I also believe that voicing any reservations about his chances to win office won’t help his run. No doubt, many Americans are asking themselves whether or not they would vote for a Black president. I think it is important for us to voice confidence that they will, if the man is right for the task.

Tethys

I think the best way to examine the issue is to ask whether or not Obama would win every single state that Kerry won in '04, as Obama has to do that - ans then some, in order to win. Obama would not win in the south or mid-West (with the possible exception of New Mexico). This simple calculation shows the odds are stacked against him.

11-02-2007, 09:15 PM	#35
bettingonosports Join Date Oct 2005 Posts 498 Senior Member	Noahath, I think I have to agree with Gem and Samantha. I have been following Barack Obama’s rise since his speech at the 2004 Democratic National Convention, and what has struck me is how much appeal he seems to have among Americans from a wide political spectrum. In terms of the racist factor, I tend to agree with Gem’s comments about the desire for change being strong enough for people to move forward on that question. I also believe that voicing any reservations about his chances to win office won’t help his run. No doubt, many Americans are asking themselves whether or not they would vote for a Black president. I think it is important for us to voice confidence that they will, if the man is right for the task. Tethys I think the best way to examine the issue is to ask whether or not Obama would win every single state that Kerry won in '04, as Obama has to do that - ans then some, in order to win. Obama would not win in the south or mid-West (with the possible exception of New Mexico). This simple calculation shows the odds are stacked against him.
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