[DoniandaCoado]

In another thread I made a comment that I believe that the Korean peninsula is the most likely place for WW3 to start.


Basically I see the NK trying to invade SK with conventional weapons, thinking that having nukes will prevent a massive US and western response to stop them. This is a miscalculation on their part and sooner or later when faced with a conventional defeat on the battlefield they Nuke Seoul and or a West Coast US city. China steps in and WW3 starts between the West and China. Russia stays out of it for a while and then comes in on the side of the west near the end in a territorial grab much like they did in the Pacific Theater at the end of WW2.

The other possibility in the same region would be Taiwan. They could try to assert full independence from the mainland. That would lead to a mainland response and the US would possibly step in to assist Taiwan’s independence.

Another possibility is Iran invades Iraq and the US and the west step in. That is a low probability of involving the complete world as there is no second major power ready to step in.

Same if the initial battles were in Pakistan and India. I see a possibility of a regional nuclear war there but the two sides do not have enough nukes to make a difference. The only possibility would be China trying to make a land grab and the West trying to keep them out.

There will be local wars in Africa and possibly South America but people simply don’t give much of a shit about these places. This could change if major resources ( especially huge reserves of oil) were found.

The last option is Europe. This was the big possibility during the cold war but IMHO WW3 will be between China and the west and Europe is simply too far from China to be where it would start.