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Old 12-11-2010, 01:38 PM   #15
Kingerix

Join Date
Oct 2005
Posts
391
Senior Member
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Just as silly as WW1 starting over the assassination of an Archduke who was so disliked that most of his family did not go to his funeral?

Wars often start over silly things and then escalate because neither side wants to look weak and back down.

How do you see it starting, assuming that you think that it will happen?
Well, a simple difference to World War 1 (and former times in general) is the military situation and the ecconomic situation.

In the past there always have been a bunch of empires with at least almost equaly capable war machines.
The war didn't start for silly reasons. The assasination (terrorism) was just the trigger. To believe that a global power starts a full scale war simply due to something like an assasination is naive.
The war started because the biggest ecconomic power of the time wanted to claim it's leading position on the world stage by military means. The two declining empires that joined in on that wanted to restore their status.
They went to war because they expected to reach a superiour position by winning it and they had the military capability to do so.

Without economic goals and the military capacity there would not have been a war.

Today the only empire with the military capability to wage war on a global scale is the US... so the US would be the onlyone capable to escalate a conflict to a world war.

Currently there are no ecconomic reasons nor military capabilites in China to start a big conflict. That's also the reason why North Korea won't do anything... if they attack the South they won't get help by China, because China trades way more stuff with South Korea then it does with the North.
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