No, quite clearly either you don't, or you need to see a rhetorical doctor about a terminal case of hyberbolic exaggerationism. Let's see here...... 'Reportedly', 'sources reported that perhaps.....', 'apparently', 'may have occurred....', Not exactly justification for your rather over-the-top If we hadn't gone in and Iraq had become the al Qaeda haven it looks like it was likely to turn into.... Why, what ironclad evidence! Sorry, you haven't made even a tangentially effective circumstantial case.