I will also have to disagree when it comes to Russia. I believe one of the only reasons Russia has decided to remain largely out of western European business is because of the US. Strategically, we are still Europe's ace in the hole. If push comes to shove we are still there. Remove America from the equation and you will have a Europe without its largest, strategic parter and with a Europe that doesn't, IMO, have the stomach to put up much of a fight.