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**nizcreare** · 12-06-2011, 03:10 AM

So at the 2nd choice the branches would be 2/3 x 1/2 (success) or 2/3 x 1/2 (failure)

If you reach the 2nd choice, either way it's a 1/3 that you'll get the car or goat.

The prior failure to pick the car at the first pick has no bearing on which door to pick second time around.

12-06-2011, 03:10 AM	#5
nizcreare Join Date Oct 2005 Posts 566 Senior Member	So at the 2nd choice the branches would be 2/3 x 1/2 (success) or 2/3 x 1/2 (failure) If you reach the 2nd choice, either way it's a 1/3 that you'll get the car or goat. The prior failure to pick the car at the first pick has no bearing on which door to pick second time around.
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