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**imporrilk** · 04-21-2010, 12:35 PM

Almost all of the deaths this year are from one earthquake (Haiti) that wasn't particularly strong, but happened to be near a large city with many poorly constructed buildings. One earthquake in Haiti doesn't make a trend.

While anything could happen I don't agree with the your statistical analysis. It's like claiming anyone who won a $1+ million lottery so far this year in theory should expect to win two more $1+ million lotteries this year.

Anyone winning a lottery is based off Luck though, Earthquakes happening are not based on Luck, but what is happening with the Earth at a given time, whether that is effected by the Moon's/Sun's gravitational pull or not.

If all of the earthquakes that occurred in 2009, happened within the space of a 6 months this year, then I'd say something is definitely on the Horizon.

04-21-2010, 12:35 PM	#26
imporrilk Join Date Oct 2005 Posts 461 Senior Member	Almost all of the deaths this year are from one earthquake (Haiti) that wasn't particularly strong, but happened to be near a large city with many poorly constructed buildings. One earthquake in Haiti doesn't make a trend. While anything could happen I don't agree with the your statistical analysis. It's like claiming anyone who won a $1+ million lottery so far this year in theory should expect to win two more $1+ million lotteries this year. Anyone winning a lottery is based off Luck though, Earthquakes happening are not based on Luck, but what is happening with the Earth at a given time, whether that is effected by the Moon's/Sun's gravitational pull or not. If all of the earthquakes that occurred in 2009, happened within the space of a 6 months this year, then I'd say something is definitely on the Horizon.
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