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**Andrew1978** · 01-22-2007, 06:33 PM

"Firmly in the back pocket of Tehran," eh? If by that you mean "a total scrambled mess," then I agree. The Sunnis aren't so insignificant that they'll give up without overwhelming force against them, which Maliki can't project effectively when his regime is enforced by a patchwork of militias answering to petty warlords instead of him. The neighboring countries are mostly Sunni, except for Iran, and will likely funnel clandestine aid at the very least. And the Kurds aren't going to stay aligned with the resulting pile of crap for long, which means trouble with Turkey.

Even in the extremely unlikely event that Maliki (or someone else) takes control with no problems, it's still going to take several years to fix the mess we made--and it won't be cheap, either.

01-22-2007, 06:33 PM	#19
Andrew1978 Join Date Oct 2005 Posts 565 Senior Member	"Firmly in the back pocket of Tehran," eh? If by that you mean "a total scrambled mess," then I agree. The Sunnis aren't so insignificant that they'll give up without overwhelming force against them, which Maliki can't project effectively when his regime is enforced by a patchwork of militias answering to petty warlords instead of him. The neighboring countries are mostly Sunni, except for Iran, and will likely funnel clandestine aid at the very least. And the Kurds aren't going to stay aligned with the resulting pile of crap for long, which means trouble with Turkey. Even in the extremely unlikely event that Maliki (or someone else) takes control with no problems, it's still going to take several years to fix the mess we made--and it won't be cheap, either.
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