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Old 07-28-2011, 09:53 PM   #1
L6RLnyfl

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Oct 2005
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405
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Default WAFL tips Round 19
PERTH vs SOUTH FREMANTLE at Lathlain

This now looms as the match of the round. Perth coming off a giant-killing win over West Perth. South Fremantle have been ultra competitive without winning (dropping 4 of thier last 5 games). The Demons have this chance right in front of them on Saturday. This would be a significant win for them and if they think too much about it, it could be their downfall. Souths know what they need to do to win. And that is probably not much different to what they have been doing. Of the last 3 losses they have had against quality opposition, they could easily have won all 3 of those games. They are now under more pressure than they probably deserve. I sense (without seeing the teams) that Perth will be a tough act on Saturday. The game is played 90% in the head and Perth must keep mentally focused. Last week would have given the club a boost and perhaps they can roll with that.

PERTH to win by 18 points (sorry SFFC4ever)

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CLAREMONT vs EAST PERTH at Claremont Oval.

The Tigers will see this game as perhaps a chance to close the gap on West Perth. The Royals probably enter this game now having less to lose as all is pretty much lost for 2011. But they can still be nuisance value for the remainder of the year. East Perth played a great game last week to almost snatch an unlikely victory. If the weather is nasty then I give East Perth a chance here. Claremont have been vulnerable in patches and have dropped 3 games at Claremont Oval. Once a fortress for them. Accountability will be the key here and I think EP can stifle Claremont here. Will be hoping for a wet. cold miserable day and goals hard to kick. I will tip an upset and Gary Moss to have a day out. He is getting better when it counts.

EAST PERTH to win by 17 points

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PEEL THUNDER vs SUBIACO at Bendigo Bank Mandurah (ABC TV Game)

Danger game for the in form Lions, but they are on a real confidence binge right now. Been a terrific turn around by Subiaco and it has been done on perceverance and hard work. This is a side who has lost key players in recent times and they have slowly built a genuine team of competitors. This game is significant seeing it was Peel's upset win over the Lions in round 10 that saw the Lions hit their lowest ebb. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and have a percentage capable of getting them a finals spot if it comes down to that. Peel also have been terrific, mainly at Rushton Park and they were competitive against the Tigers last week. But I think Subiaco know a loss in this game is not an option. They have too much to play for and know just rocking up on Saturday wont be enough. But Peel could easily suprise.

SUBIACO to win by 35 points

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SWAN DISTRICTS vs EAST FREMANTLE at Karratha

Swans have given up a home ground advantage here and the way they have played at Bassendean in 2011, thats perhaps not a bad thing. These sides had a gripping game earlier this year at EF Oval when the Sharks defence held up in the second half to get them the win. East Fremantle are a hard team to gauge. Their form has you thinking perhaps they peaked a bit early with wins over both CL and WP (away) when they were at their peak. The AFL numbers in their side could be classed as a distraction, but if they click between now & September they will be a serious contender. But they need to show more than they are right now. Swans have just dived completely. They are totally out of sync and the premiership is a distant memory. Probably the biggest slide by a team since East Fremantle of 1979/1980. The Sharks have too much incentive, though the change of scenery will definently help Swans. Just not enough on this occasion I think.

EAST FREMANTLE to win by 29 points

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