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#41 |
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#42 |
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anyway optimism and pessimism don't come into it. that is just a sly personal insult and has no place in the argument. science is about what is and if that what is is that we now know that something is impossible then that is what is. simple. There are examples that if the more optimistic had taken the advice of the more pessimsitic, then certain things may not have eventuated when they did. Flying is one example... Going to the Moon is another. Once again as you so readily seem to ignore and as a result insult me personally, I speak of things within the laws of physics. |
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#43 |
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#45 |
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#46 |
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I prefer to be realistic. Unwarranted optimism is as dangerous as unwarranted pessimism. It causes us to chase the impossible and rest on our laurels. At least the pessimists will sometimes be pleasantly surprised. |
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#47 |
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Once again as you so readily seem to ignore and as a result insult me personally, I speak of things within the laws of physics. |
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#50 |
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#51 |
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There reality of course based on current knowledge. |
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#53 |
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#54 |
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Proving the optimists very very wrong, in that case. Thus showing the advantages of actually testing things out instead of shouting down "pessimistic" opponents. Conversely, I see it [the debate] as an example of pessimists trying to shout down optimistic opponents not as you say. What we, you and I and everyone needs to remember is that any sense of pessimism and lack of ambition are the ultimate dangers. It's only a sense of optimism and continued forward progress can solve our current (and possible future) problems. We must find our destiny in diversity and continue forward rather than meekly await some dismal future. |
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#56 |
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#57 |
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http://airandspace.si.edu/education/pubs/ds_guide.pdf
Earth is the cradle of humanity, but it is impossible to live forever in the cradle." ~ Tsiolkovski, 1912 (Russian rocketry pioneer & futurist) The best way to predict the future is to create it." |
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#58 |
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#59 |
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Might well have been the case here...But this debate isn't about the likelyhood of life elswhere for whatever reasons....It's about achieving technological change one day in the future that we now look on as impossible. And in that debate time is our friend. The space program that led to the moon landings was not led by dreamers, or anyone convinced that it was our destiny. It was spearheaded by propaganda and a need to prove superiority, and it was realised by experts all too aware that it may well be impossible. One could say that their pessimism is what made it a success. Considering every possible point of failure, everything that could go wrong, testing everything to breaking point, including people. Everything they achieved was firmly rooted in existing technology. The engineering of the craft, the chemistry of the fuels, the physics or orbital motion...they took the science that was already there and pushed it to the limits. They didn't stand around optimistically saying "it'll be fine, it's our destiny", or waiting for some future breakthrough that would make it easy. It is only by considering the worst, that we can avoid it to find the best. |
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#60 |
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The space program that led to the moon landings was not led by dreamers, or anyone convinced that it was our destiny. It was spearheaded by propaganda and a need to prove superiority, and it was realised by experts all too aware that it may well be impossible. |
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