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Old 04-19-2010, 09:22 PM   #10
brraverishhh

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Jan 2006
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What incentive could anyone possibly hold out to them? They're stuck between the monster of their own (in part) creation - Hezbollah, their new overlords in Iran and Turkey who would love to engage in a cold war with Iran over who gets to annex Syria or use it as bait for the Israelis. The one thing they have to offer Obama is some credible effort at crushing the movement and logistical support of 'insurgents' into Iraq. But with 'only' 95,000 US troops there and 40-45,000 more scheduled to leave by August 2010, he (Obama) may no longer care. He offered them solace before, they rejected him. And now, what? An "ambassador" I mean, CIA station chief? To do what? Shred documents about black site interrogation centers? What does Obama imagine? He can force Israel to surrender the Golan in exchange for nothing?

I am dubious. And human rights are pretty much the worst in the Arab world than any other place which is not actively in a state of war (Central Africa) or one vast concentration camp (North Korea).
Incentives (for Syria): Water, aid, Golan.

Motivations: Weakening Iran's influence after they get the bomb as such an event will launch a Middle Eastern cold war, facilitating a peace deal with the Palestinians.
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