A Lotus driver looks good for becoming the 8th winner. But it will depend on circumstances, which of the two - Räikkönen or Grosjean - wins before. Who happens to have a good weekend at the right moment and has a bit of luck in addition.
The best thing about 2012 is that there is no clear fastest car out there. RBR, Ferrari, McLaren are all up there with no clear advantage to anyone yet.