I doubt either us will be proven right or wrong for a few years, but I do have a few points of contention: - You refer to the power of the home nation as if there is a significant correlation to the size of being a financial centre, yet a paragraph later state that Dubai is going to rise dramatically.... the UAE has a population similar to that of Queens & Brooklyn or Outer London, and that isn't the fact that Dubai is pretty much bankrupt. - We're all in the same abyss (although more correctly it is the Scottish banks: RBS and HBOS that went sour, the English banks didn't stray to far - HSBC didn't go down the route Citigroup went...), so happens also that the US is below the rest of us lot to cushion us when we hit the bottom. - Yep, AIM is such a disaster and London so distrusted that it is being replicated across the world, next stop Tokyo AIM! - London's regulatory stance was such a disaster that its two largest financial institutions and investment scene evaporated... We'll re-convene in 5 years time.