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Old 12-07-2009, 07:59 PM   #13
Xodvbooj

Join Date
Oct 2005
Posts
407
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The EU has a very aging population and a lot of benefits that it owes them.

Every publication that I've read (including the Economist and the FT) predicts dire times ahead for the EU.

Also, the EU is not a country. It's an economic block composed of members with competing self-interests (as the latest Barnier fiasco demonstrates). Another example is that the UK and France won't give up their security council seats in favor of an EU seat.

Also, unlike the US, it does not issue EU bonds because stable countries, like Germany, don't want to underwrite risk for weaker ones, like Greece. If and when an EU country defaults on its debt, which will become a real possibility as more eastern European countries enter the EU (let alone Greece), will Germany and France bail it out? I doubt it.

Lastly, while I would not have expected China's meteoric rise to have been a zero-sum game for the rest of the world, it appears that Europe is being marginalized at China's expense.
The US may also being marginalised as the world looks Eastward rather than Westward , as for birth rates, Britain and Ireland have amongst the highest birth rates in Europe, the Germans having amongst the lowest birth rates in Europe. The UK has also seen mass immigration from Eastern Europe with millions of Polish, Romanians, Russians and others coming to the UK and particuarlty London. It is projected that the UK population will rise significantly in the future rather than fall, with cities such as London being the main beneficiaries.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/20...-rate-increase

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...se-419879.html

http://www.london.gov.uk/view_press_...?releaseid=973


The population of London is expected to increase by almost 20 per cent over the next two decades. The total will have grown by more than a million, to about 8.8 million, by 2029.

In terms of Bonds, they may well be part of the EU's future plans.

http://www.euractiv.com/en/financial...article-179536



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