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Old 04-07-2011, 12:02 AM   #1
rvadipoldkov

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Default WAFL Tips Round 4.
Trying to tip WAFL is bloody hard. Muddy Waterman's got it right by saying good luck to anyone trying to tips winners. If it wasnt for Claremont, we would all look below average.... Anyway time to look stupid again and it is a very difficult round to tip with 100% confidence.

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EAST PERTH vs CLAREMONT @ Medibank Stadium Leederville - Saturday (ABC TV Game Live)

The Tigers are looking unbeatable, as most people keep saying. They didnt get the cruisey ride most of us though they might get against Peel. Looking where East Perth could expose Claremont is quite simple - the ruck. The Tigers have lost their number one big man Andrew Ruck to a knee injury, while the Royals gain Zac Beeck and Zac Clarke for the first time in a WAFL game. Both played a part in the Royals win over VFL side North Ballarat in the Foxtel Cup last week. This is a crucial game for the Royals given they have some tough games to start the season. I think they would have learned plenty from their loss to Souths a fortnight ago. East Perth know they can beat the tigers after last years brilliant win over them in the last round in 2010. Though the side is slightly different from that one, East Perth are still a side gelling especially up forward. If they can get themselves sorted out down there they may stretch the Claremont defence. The tigers still have a powerful unit basically all over the ground. Constant pressure did it for EP last year, and they would have watched a tape of that game this week I am sure. EP last year lacked the speed of the tigers (in parts). It was EP's use of the ball that lifted them over the tigers. An area that greatly improved towards the business end of the season for them. I normally tip with my head without bias. But this time Im gonna put my nads on the chopping block and back the Royals in an upset.... EAST PERTH BY 16 POINTS.

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EAST FREMANTLE vs WEST PERTH @ East Fremantle Oval - Saturday

This will be a great game. The Falcons have got off to a solid start again, and their opening round win over Subi proved to be a great win given the Lions win over the Sharks. Based on that theory West Perth really should win this game. But it is so hard to gauge. The Sharks beat Perth as many expected, then Perth beat Souths. How do you gauge how good EF are ?? No doubt EF would have expected to beat Subiaco last week. And maybe that was the problem for them. There will be no chance of them simply expecting to beat West Perth this week. We therefore should see a much more disiplined EF side. They could be looking down at a 1-3 start and a tough fortnight to follow. East Fremantle have a decent midfeild, but so do the Falcons. Both sides have forward lines with no big name players, but both capable of scoring goals. The only way I can separate these two sides totally is the home ground advantage. However WP did beat the Sharks at Moss Street in 2010, so that theory doesnt hold much water. Hutchings has had a great start to the season and he uses the ball well. And WP did run extremely well after they had that flat spot against Swans in the 3rd term. One thing we know is if WP fall behind, they are capable of coming back. The Sharks will have a very tough afternoon and I think they can win it.... But WP are riding some confidence much like this time last year. Im hoping the Sharks can win, but maybe the Falcons are a fraction ahead..... WEST PERTH BY 1 POINT.

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PERTH vs SUBIACO @ Brownes Stadium Lathlain - Saturday.

Another bloody hard game to tip !! Both sides coming off brilliant wins last week, which makes this contest even harder to tip. The only way I can separtate them is by history. Perth have been in similar situations before and lost. Subiaco have excelled in situations like this in the past. Perth have not had a great record against the Lions over the years. They went down by 5 points to them last year, when Ross Smith missed a shot from 20 metres out only 3 seconds before the final siren. The game should have been a draw. Anyway Perth should gain enormous confidence by winning at Fremantle Oval, which is one of the tougher grounds to win at. Subiaco would be wrapped with the lack of talk regarding their chances in 2011. I get the feeling that is just how they want it, and they have been great in both of their games so far. Losing to WP by a kick is nothing to be sneezed at.... The Demons have a rare chance to build a decent start to the season. Nobody can question their spirit. You dont win games like they did last week with no spirit. Subiaco have pride that is basically a prerequesite of being a Subiaco footballer these days. Very hard to find where either team can dominate. The time has come for Perth to hate losing. I will back them in this game for the sole reason of hoping they can finally take advantage of Subiaco not at their absolute best. Thats not bagging Subiaco as their past best has been bloody good. But the Demons & the pig-pen to go off on Saturday..... PERTH BY 15 POINTS.

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PEEL THUNDER vs SOUTH FREMANTLE @ Anniversary Park Rockingham - Saturday.

Danger game for Souths.... Though I still think they have more winners around the ground. Souths had Perth on toast with 10 minutes to go, and somehow let it slip. They will be stinging from that and they would not need John Dimmer to tell them. Peel were obviously serviceable last week, if a 50-odd point loss could be called serviceable, but it was. They have a few AFL blokes in their side and apparently young Lycett struggled last week. He comes here with a reputation and I saw him in a practice game this year and he was quite good. Souths with Graham in the ruck will give the young buck another testing afternoon Im sure. Souths for me simply have too much firepower up forward. Peel have a history of sticking with sides for half a game, then falling away badly. I cannot back them even with my mothers money. Souths should win as a loss here will be more than just losing 4 points.... The Bulldogs to bounce back here.
SOUTH FREMANTLE BY 39 POINTS.

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I am actually expecting 0-4 this week... Nothing would suprise me. The teams will be interesting and I may only alter my selections if anything significant comes up.

Hope to see others mistakes...errr tips later on

PS : Swans vs Williamstown - I will tip Williamstown only because I think Swans focus will be on getting their WAFL season back on track. Should see some ressies playing, which wont help Swans. Last year I would have tipped Swans by 10 goals. But cant see it now, though their side is not that bad.... But I hope they can win for WA Footy
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Old 04-07-2011, 05:01 AM   #2
Unwiseevove

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Claremont will belt EP. The margin will be at least 6-7 goals, just too much class all over the ground. The difference between Claremont's best player and their worst isn't that great, whereas for EP the difference is massive. Although I am impressed that EP beat North Ballarat, so who knows. If EP are accountable then they're half a chance, they can't let seagulls like Brabazon and Foster run around on their own all day. If they aren't accountable then they will get belted, simple as that.

East Fremantle have the talent to win the flag but IMO they lack mental toughness which explains why they dropped a game last week that they should of won comfortably. Problem for WP is that if EF play to their potential then they are going to get the points, but with the inconsistency of EF you just never know which side is going to show up. This inconsistency caused by a lack of mental toughness is the only thing stopping EF from being a big flag chance this season. I've got a feeling the good EF will come out this week and win by 4 goals.

Perth and Subiaco is another tough game to judge. Subi beating EF was a great effort regardless of how poorly EF may have played, and Perth beating SF was also a very good effort. I think if Subi lose Anthony then they are going to struggle up forward - Perth have a strong backline this year with Zucconi and Sibosado down there. A couple of lesser known Subi guys got under EF's radar last week in McDonnell and Eades but they won't be able to fly under the radar this week. I think Perth have a bit more class than Subi and if they play with the passion and desire that I heard they played with last week then they should beat Subi by 3 goals, and I think they will.

Peel must of showed a bit last week, to lose by less than 10 goals at Claremont is a good effort. The Thornton brothers were all good for Peel last week and with AFL players like Crichton, Michie, Faulks, Lycett and Jones in their side there is a bit of class there. If Murphy and Wilson fire for SF then they usually win but you can count on Faulks to do a good job on one of those two, but who will play on the other? Peel are such a young side whereas SF are probably the most experienced in the WAFL, so I think that extra experience and probably extra class aswell will get them over the line by 5-6 goals.

Very tough week of footy to predict that's for sure. If you bet on WAFL games then I think the best value bet will be on EF to win, they should be at a pretty healthy price.
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Old 04-07-2011, 02:57 PM   #3
infollafago

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Nice previews both Gasman and Robbo.
Kind of got me looking forward to the round actually.
I hope East Perth can push Claremont but I tend to agree with Robbo. In fact, I don't doubt that Claremont's reserves side would be competitive at league level right now.
The other 3 games should go down to the wire.
Are we up against the Eagles and dockers again on the Saturday?
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Old 04-07-2011, 03:20 PM   #4
onlineslotetes

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Yes Bensti, the WAFL is up against live TV (crows v dockers)at 1pm, then AFL at Subiaco at 5.40pm (eagles v sydney). Always tough for the WAFL these days.

This is the time to fixture in a Sunday game... Nothing to oppose the WAFL on Sunday - even 1 game would be great.

Good write up Robbo. And I agree EP will find it tough. But Im living in hope. They need to find the same massive intensity they did against the tigers last year. And they really should have won that game by 8 goals (kicked 12.23 to 11.13). Perth v Subi and EF v WP is bloody hard to tip. Even PT v SF has me thinking just a little. Thats all good for the WAFL I reckon.
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Old 04-07-2011, 03:23 PM   #5
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oh That's this week's attendances cut in half then!
Yep a Sunday game was badly needed this round. It would have been perfect.
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Old 04-07-2011, 03:32 PM   #6
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As a footy enthusiest, if a Perth v Subi game was at Lathlain on Sunday, I would probably go down there in the arvo and watch it.

I reckon there would be a few like myself too. Sometimes watching other teams play can be more enjoyable because you dont get as worked up. And such a game would be interesting to see, when you otherwise would not normally be able too.

Anyway we have beat this drum before, nothing changes in this area unfortunately.
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Old 04-07-2011, 04:31 PM   #7
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Peel – by 5 points - just too good 4 us…

WP – by 14 points – should be a good game, but think WP just a bit too strong here

CL – by 19 points – another great game, really could go either way, but think CL will finish the stronger

Perth – by 7 points – Liked the look of Perth last week, quick & had some good run going, might be too much for Subi
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Old 04-07-2011, 09:28 PM   #8
Grennios

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By the way I would just like to say well done to the WAFL presidents who all said no to AFL reserves teams in the WAFL.
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Old 04-07-2011, 11:02 PM   #9
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Indeed, might not stop WCE 'aligning' themselves with Perth though...

By the way I would just like to say well done to the WAFL presidents who all said no to AFL reserves teams in the WAFL.
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Old 04-07-2011, 11:16 PM   #10
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Indeed, might not stop WCE 'aligning' themselves with Perth though...
That would make them a host club, and that wont get passed either.

They should p!ss off to the VFL. The WAFL has obviously failed them since their inception. You know, only 5 Grand Finals and 3 premierships. They have really struggled under this system....... enough bullsh!t has been said on this. Rack off to the VFL. This way they can be closer to their beloved AFL players Association collegues who are backing their dream..... cockheads.
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Old 04-08-2011, 03:37 AM   #11
Keeriewof

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CL
WP
Su
SF
Williamstown
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Old 04-08-2011, 05:29 AM   #12
dserbokim

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Wp
c
s
peel
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Old 04-08-2011, 06:20 AM   #13
nerohedfrs

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Peel
EF
CL
Perth
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Old 04-08-2011, 06:24 AM   #14
Biassasecumma

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By the way I would just like to say well done to the WAFL presidents who all said no to AFL reserves teams in the WAFL.
Apparently not all the presidents Robbo! And with all the talk about Perth and the Eagles, guess which president didn't turn up and sent one of his delegates in his place? Very disappointing.
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Old 04-08-2011, 03:01 PM   #15
attanilifardy

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ok, let me in on the secret. do not live in was but still love the wafl.
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Old 04-08-2011, 03:07 PM   #16
k5wTvu9f

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We should go with catfish on the tipping... 4 from 4 last week, bloody good.
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Old 04-08-2011, 06:46 PM   #17
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catfish could easily 0/4 this week Gasman, this weekends games all look tight, bar the EP/CL game!.......

Peel weren't that bad last week against CL, against weaker opposition they should sneak a win against SF!

I like the look of EF side this weekend, with Warren and Bucovacz playing 2nds hopefully EF forward will kick some regular goals in the coming weeks after the bye! EF to beat WP, just think WP are due a loss and EF side looks pretty good except for CHF....can't see Venturinni lining up there.....perhaps Hadley or Lee Steere.....though WP have been pretty impressive so far.

Subi and Perth is gonna be very very tough to pick.....Subi's defenders are key to any Subi win.....Anthony and Broughton will test Perth's defence......both have good rucks and midfields.....just think Subi's defence is better than Perths....Subi to sneak a win!

CL even with the loss of their ruck Ruck should more than beat EP.....though losing Mckenzie will be a blessing for EP Smith and Polak....with Clarke back I can see Polak at FF and Smith at CHF....probably interchanging throughout the game.....Wilkes will have to be close to top form.....Claremonts midfield will do the damage, way better than EP......way better than anyone elses at present.....EP will push hard for 3 quarters but I can see Claremont's overall quality coming through and probably making the score line look a bit deceiving.......CL for me
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Old 04-08-2011, 10:23 PM   #18
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I hope that broughton plays well, but hopefully the games over before the dorkers realise he is missing.

my tips are as follows

south freo

east freo

claremont

Subiaco
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Old 04-08-2011, 10:59 PM   #19
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I must admit I am leaning slightly towards EF now... Their side looks great down one side.

Brennan, Sheppard, McNamara, Hadley and Stevens... Maybe they will try and take advantage of that side of the ground. Coach Malaxos has emphesised the Sharks deficiencies last week in tackling. I expect them to be totally different on Saturday. Last year in the early round game against EP, the Sharks actually won the game based on tackling & pressure. If they can do that then a win is possible. They will need it against the garlics. I would expect a much harder EF side this week.
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