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That sunspot cycle activity increased and decreased in a cycle of approximately 11 years was established in the 1750s when astronomers began to make the first charts of the numbers of sunspots over time. During World War I, A. L. Tchijevsky, a Russian professor of Astronomy and Biological Physics who continued his studies at the war front, noticed that particularly severe battles regularly followed each solar flare during the sunspot peak period of 1916-17.
To test his hypothesis that sunspot cycle influenced human activity, Tchijevsky constructed an Index of Mass Human Excitability covering each year form 500 BC to 1922 AD. He then investigated the histories of 72 countries during that period, noting signs of human unrest such as wars, revolutions, riots, expeditions and migrations, plus the numbers of humans involved. Tchijevsky found that fully 80% of the most significant events occurred during the 5 years of maximum sunspot activity. (Tchijevsky's merely noting that the 1917 Russian Revolution occurred during the height of the sunspot cycle earned him almost 30 years in Soviet prisons because his theory challenged Marxist dialectics.) Tchijevsky divided the eleven year sunspot cycle into four social periods: Period 1: (approximately 3 years, minimum sunspot activity). Peace, lack of unity among the masses, election of conservatives, autocratic, minority rule. Period 2: (approx. 2 years, increasing sunspot activity). Increasing mass excitability, new leaders rise, new ideas and challenges to the elite. Period 3: (Approximately 3 years, maximum sunspot activity). Maximum excitability, election of liberals or radicals, mass demonstrations, riots, revolutions, wars and resolution of most pressing demands. Period 4: (Approximately 3 years, decreasing sunspot activity). Decrease in excitability, masses become apathetic, seek peace. Tchijevsky did not believe solar disturbances caused discontent as much as they acted as detonators that set off the smoldering discontent of the masses--discontent often channeled into war by their rulers. Nor did he deny that even during minimum solar activity some people would rebel against intolerable conditions or that nations would seek advantage through war and conquest. Some have since noted that the number of sunspots during any period may not be as significant as whether there is a rapid increase in the numbers, triggering unexpected passions. The Evidence: Historical Events During Sunspot Cycle Heights (1750-2000) Below are just a small sampling of the many riots, rebellions, revolutions and wars which have accompanied the sunspot cycle maximum or height. Charts of sunspot numbers were first kept in 1749. See NASA's actual monthly numbers 1749-2005. 1750 - 1800 ![]() 1770-75 Boston Massacre, Committees of Correspondence and militias start forming, Boston Tea party, Battles of Lexington and Concord got ball rolling so that from 1776-79 Independence was declared and war of American Revolution fought 1788-91 French Revolution, US Constitution written 1800 - 1900 ![]() 1803-1806 Napoleon conquers Europe 1815-17 Two wars to defeat Napoleon; German, English and Serbian riots; Brazil, Chile and Argentina declare independence 1828-32 Revolts in Turkey, Mexico, Belgium, Poland, France, Britain; Virginia slave revolt 1837-40 Constitutional revolts in Canada, slavery debate outlawed in US, Texas Independence, Boer separatists occupy African lands, British-Afghan war; Opium War 1848-51 Revolts and revolutions in Poland, Switzerland, Paris, Vienna, Berlin, Milan, Venice, Naples, Prague, Budapest, Warsaw; US Mexican War starts; Taiping Rebellion starts 1858-61 American Civil War begins; revolts in India, Italy, China 1869-72 Franco-Prussian War; Paris Revolutionary Commune 1883-86 Big US labor strikes, revolt in Sudan, First Indian Congress meets 1893-95 Zulu revolt, Cuban revolution 1900 - 1960 ![]() 1905-08 German miners, Hottentots, Turks, Indians, Honduras, Russians revolt 1916-18 World War I, Irish and Indian revolts, Russian Revolution 1927-31 Mussolini and Hitler build power on economic unrest; revolts in Vienna, China; formation of Red Army; Spanish Republic formed; mass civil disobedience in India 1937-40 US steel strike, Spanish Civil War, Germany and Japan start World War II, mass civil disobedience in India 1947-51 Greek Civil War, First Israeli-Arab War, Indian-Pakistani riots, Red Army conquers China, Vietnam revolts, Korean War 1957-60 Israel invades Sinai, Hungarian uprising, Cuban revolution, civil rights movement in US, French-Algerian war, MauMau revolt, Iraq revolt, numerous African nations gain independence 1961-2007 - Significant Events Organized According to Tchijevsky's Four Periods A more detailed (though hardly exhaustive) listing of the most significant events of the last 40 years, divided into Tchijevsky's four periods, shows similar correlations. Peace/Repression Period 1961-64 Cuban Missile Crisis, Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, active civil rights period Increase Period 1965-66 500,000 troops sent to Vietnam, first big anti-war marches, first US inner city riots, China cultural revolution begins Maximum Period 1967-69 Height of Vietnam War, peace demonstrations, worldwide student uprisings, Chinese cultural revolution continues, Czechoslovakian uprising/USSR invasion, US inner city riots, Israeli Arab war, Woodstock and height of hippy movement Decrease Period 1970-72 Women's movement takes off as student movement slacks off, India-Pakistan war, Nixon visits China for détente, Vietnam War winds down/Paris Peace talks, Bangladesh independence, Communist Allende elected in Chile Peace/Repression Period 1973-75 Vietnam War ends, Wounded Knee Occupation, Chilean military overthrows Allende, Yom Kipper War and oil embargo, Nixon resigns, Greek and Ethiopian dictators deposed, Helsinki peace accords, Khmer Rouge begin Cambodian massacres, civil war begins in Lebanon Increase Period 1976-78 Camp David Egypt-Israeli Peace accords, Pakistan military coup, war in Ethiopia and Zaire, Sandinista rebels fighting in Nicaragua, military coups in Afghanistan, first big anti-nuclear power demonstrations Maximum Period 1979-82 Polish Solidarity takes off, US anti-tax movement reaches heights and elects Reagan, Shah of Iran overthrown, Iraq-Iran war begins, USSR invades Afghanistan, Falklands War, Sandinistas oust Somas, Zimbabwe gains independence, big worldwide anti-nuclear and peace demonstrations Decrease Period 1981-83 US aid to "contras" in Nicaragua, US invades Grenada, Tamils rebel in Sri Lanka, Israel invades Lebanon, Greens elected in Germany Peace/Repression Period 1984-86 Israel withdraws from Lebanon, South Africa riots put down by government, Philippines ousts Marcos, Sikh rebellions/riots in India, US war on drugs accelerates Increase Period 1987-88 Palestinian Intifada begins, Eastern European dissidents organize, USSR & US sign missile treaty, USSR begins pullout from Afghanistan Maximum Period 1989-91 Chinese student uprising crushed, peaceful revolutions in Eastern Europe, dissolution of Soviet Union/end of Communist Party domination, Saddam Hussein invades Kuwait, end of apartheid in South Africa, beginnings of patriot and militia movements in US, Somalia civil war, Yugoslavia begins slaughter in Bosnia, Sandinistas lose Nicaraguan elections Decrease Period 1992-94 Czechoslovakia divides into Czech and Slovak republics, Afghan rebels capture Kabul, protests over Waco massacre, Republicans take US congress, Mandela becomes President, Arafat returns to Palestine, Rwanda massacres begin, Los Angeles riots. Peace/Repression Period 1995-97 Peace process begins in Northern Ireland, Bosnia-Croation-Serbian Peace accords, Israeli-Palestinian Peace accords, FBI increases power after Oklahoma City bombing, busts of "right wing" activists, US rate of incarceration becomes highest in world, China and Northern Korea war threats mediated Increase Period 1998-99 Peace treaty in Northern Ireland, big peace protests versus Iraq war, overthrow of Indonesia’s Suharto, India and Pakistan test nuclear weapons, US and European youth/student riots, Serbian-KLA conflicts increase and US/NATO decides to "resolve" conflict through massive bombing of the whole nation, Russian repeatedly warns of possibility of Nuclear War over the bombing, India-Pakistan skirmishes over Kashmir increase; militias burn East Timor, drive people into camps in West Timor; big and unusually violent demonstrations at WTO meeting in Seattle; rising religious strife in India and Indonesia. Maximum Period 2000-03 ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() (Cycle 24 a little slow getting started) Little world activism versus threatened US and Israel Middle East and Iran attacks; Bush allows one to one talks with North Korean and Iran raising hopes of peace; US/Israel find it difficult to get UN military action on Darfur; leaders of Zimbabwe, Venezuela and Ecuador, Iran crack down on independent media, electoral and other dissidents; "Tea Party" protests and left and right wing Americans increase secession chatter |
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