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06-17-2011, 12:22 PM | #1 |
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Rafael Nadal ESP (1) v Michael Russell USA Pablo Andujar ESP v Ryan Sweeting USA Gilles Muller LUX v Tommy Haas GER Fabio Fognini ITA v Milos Raonic CAN (31) Juan Martin Del Potro ARG (24) v Qualifier Olivier Rochus BEL v Qualifier Frederico Gil POR v Dudi Sela ISR Qualifier v Gilles Simon FRA (15) Mardy Fish USA (10) v Marcel Granollers ESP Philipp Kohlschreiber GER v Denis Istomin UZB Robin Haase NED v Pere Riba ESP Radek Stepanek CZE v Fernando Verdasco ESP (21) Juan Ignacio Chela ARG (25) v Qualifier Donald Young USA v Alex Bogomolov Jr. USA Qualifier v Julien Benneteau FRA Filippo Volandri ITA v Tomas Berdych CZE (6) Andy Murray GBR (4) v Daniel Gimeno-Traver ESP Tobias Kamke GER v Blaz Kavcic SLO Sergiy Stakhovsky UKR v Daniel Cox GBR Ivan Ljubicic CRO v Marin Cilic CRO (27) Richard Gasquet FRA (17) v Santiago Giraldo COL Igor Kunitsyn RUS v Qualifier Qualifier v Qualifier Potito Starace ITA v Stanislas Wawrinka SUI (14) Gael Monfils FRA (9) v Matthias Bachinger GER Qualifier v Robert Kendrick USA Arnaud Clement FRA v Qualifier Ivo Karlovic CRO v Janko Tipsarevic SRB (23) Thomaz Bellucci BRA (30) v Rainer Schuettler GER Feliciano Lopez ESP v Michael Berrer GER Jaroslav Pospisil CZE v Victor Hanescu ROU Qualifier v Andy Roddick USA (8) BOTTOM HALF David Ferrer ESP (7) v Benoit Paire FRA Ivan Dodig CRO v Qualifier Carlos Berlocq ARG v Qualifier Andrey Golubev KAZ v Guillermo Garcia-Lopez ESP (26) Alexandr Dolgopolov UKR (22) v Fernando Gonzalez CHI Qqualifier v Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo ESP Grigor Dimitrov BUL v Qualifier Qualifier v Jo-Wilfried Tsonga FRA (12) Nicolas Almagro ESP (16) v Jarkko Nieminen FIN John Isner USA v Nicolas Mahut FRA Somdev Devvarman IND v Denis Gremelmayr GER Juan Monaco ARG v Mikhail Youzhny RUS (18) David Nalbandian ARG (28) v Julian Reister GER Florent Serra FRA v Andreas Haider-Maurer AUT Adrian Mannarino FRA v Qualifier Mikhail Kukushkin KAZ v Roger Federer SUI (3) Robin Soderling SWE (5) v Philipp Petzschner GER Kei Nishikori JPN v Lleyton Hewitt AUS Igor Andreev RUS v Teymuraz Gabashvili RUS Qualifier v Nikolay Davydenko RUS (29) Florian Mayer GER (20) v Daniel Evans GBR Xavier Malisse BEL v Mischa Zverev GER Ernests Gulbis LAT v Dmitry Tursunov RUS Alejandro Falla COL v Jurgen Melzer AUT (11) Viktor Troicki SRB (13) v Maximo Gonzalez ARG Yen-Hsun Lu TPE v Tommy Robredo ESP Ricardo Mello BRA v Qualifier James Ward GBR v Michael Llodra FRA (19) Marcos Baghdatis CYP (32) v James Blake USA Andreas Seppi ITA v Albert Montanes ESP Kevin Anderson RSA v Illya Marchenko UKR Jeremy Chardy FRA v Novak Djokovic SRB (2) |
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06-17-2011, 12:36 PM | #3 |
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06-17-2011, 03:21 PM | #5 |
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06-17-2011, 03:44 PM | #6 |
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06-17-2011, 05:59 PM | #9 |
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06-17-2011, 10:47 PM | #12 |
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Okay, so I'm probably off somewhere, but these are my thoughts on the I/M probability...
We know that the draw is 128, but since both are unseeded, we know there are 32 places where they won't be, leaving 96. Now, I'm sure the probability would shift depending on when they were placed, but let's say Isner was the first person they placed. There are 96 vacant spots, but 32 of them yield seeds, which will prohibit the matchup. With my very rudimentary probability skills, I would say that Isner has a 2 in 3 chance of nabbing one of the unseeded/unseeded matchups. Then, let's say Mahut was the next to be drawn. He would now need to be placed in the only spot that yields Isner as a first-round opponent, so he has a 1 in 95 chance of getting that spot. If you multiply the two probabilities together, you get 2 in 290, or 1 in 145 odds that the matchup happens. Note: I am not a math person, and I'm sure there are other variables that I'm not taking into consideration, but this might just be one way to look at it. Sorry to have bored you. |
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06-17-2011, 11:00 PM | #14 |
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06-17-2011, 11:18 PM | #15 |
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06-17-2011, 11:27 PM | #17 |
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06-17-2011, 11:49 PM | #19 |
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The probability that Isner and Mahut would draw each other again in this year's Wimbledon first round -- given that they were both unseeded -- was 0.7 percent, which is 7 in 1,000 or about 1 in 143, according to ESPN Stats & Information. Article here
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06-17-2011, 11:58 PM | #20 |
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