[invest7manager]

1. Roland Garros 4th Round – Robin Soderling d Rafael Nadal 6-2, 6-7(2), 6-4, 7-6(2)

2. US Open final – Juan Martin del Potro d Roger Federer 3-6, 7-6(5), 4-6, 7-6(4), 6-2

3. US Open 4th Round – Marin Cilic d Andy Murray 7-5, 6-2, 6-2

4. Roland Garros 3rd Round, Philipp Kohlschreiber d. Novak Djokovic 6-4, 6-4, 6-4

5. Rogers Cup quarter-finals, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga d. Roger Federer 7-6(5), 1-6, 7-6(3)

http://www.atpworldtour.com/News/Ten...-The-Year.aspx

[invest7manager]

Now that we know that Rafa was hurting badly at RG, I'm thinking that DelPo beating Fed might be the bigger upset.

Even though it was Nole, I still smile every time I see that PEHK scoreline.

[Pashtet]

I agree with all of these, the order too. Even though there have since been revelations about Rafa's condition at the time of that loss, it was still the biggest upset ever because he'd never lost at RG. Remember when we were saying before the French that Rafa would win on one leg?

[bobibnoxx]

Cilic over Murray was surprising, but I didn't really think it was a huge upset, and they had close matches in the past.

Off the top of my head, Verdasco over Murray in Australia? Haas over Djokovic at Wimbledon?

[loikrso]

I think the list is missing John Isner dismissing Andy Roddick at the USO in the third round. Even though I saw it coming when the draw doesn't mean that the Wimbledon finalist losing that early at his home Slam wasn't a pretty big upset.

I don't regard the USO final as an upset as much as a revelation.

[CicyHannyCeli]

There has to be a match or two is better than the number 5 upset of 2009.

[loikrso]

There has to be a match or two is better than the number 5 upset of 2009.

Benneteau beating Fed in Bercy, for instance.

[goctorsurger]

Benneteau beating Fed in Bercy, for instance.

Absolutely.

[JAMES PIETERSE]

How about Rajeev Ram over Sam Querrey in the final of Newport, Rhode Island, for Ram's first (and maybe only) career title.

Davydenko over Federer, for the first time in 11 or 12 attempts, at the World Tour Finals.

[urbalatte]

Benneteau beating Fed in Bercy, for instance.

This is easily the upset of the year in my book.

[CicyHannyCeli]

How about Rajeev Ram over Sam Querrey in the final of Newport, Rhode Island, for Ram's first (and maybe only) career title.

Davydenko over Federer, for the first time in 11 or 12 attempts, at the World Tour Finals.

That is a good one. Guess Sam ranking is not high enough for the ATP to consider.

Davydenko over Federer is number 5 on the ATP list.

[CicyHannyCeli]

Benneteau beating Fed in Bercy, for instance.

[Peretool]

Benneteau beating Fed in Bercy, for instance.

I remember Benneteau giving Murray fits in Cincinnati so this result wasn't a total surprise for me.

[Peretool]

No one thinks Nadal over Fed at the AO is a candidate for an upset? Prior to that match, Nadal was burdened with the "he can't win a hard court slam" anchor.

[invest7manager]

No one thinks Nadal over Fed at the AO is a candidate for an upset? Prior to that match, Nadal was burdened with the "he can't win a hard court slam" anchor.

I think it's kind of difficult to call a win by the number one player in the world an upset, Miles.

[attackDoold]

1. Roland Garros 4th Round – Robin Soderling d Rafael Nadal 6-2, 6-7(2), 6-4, 7-6(2)

2. US Open final – Juan Martin del Potro d Roger Federer 3-6, 7-6(5), 4-6, 7-6(4), 6-2

3. US Open 4th Round – Marin Cilic d Andy Murray 7-5, 6-2, 6-2

4. Roland Garros 3rd Round, Philipp Kohlschreiber d. Novak Djokovic 6-4, 6-4, 6-4

5. Rogers Cup quarter-finals, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga d. Roger Federer 7-6(5), 1-6, 7-6(3)

I agree with #1 and #2. I'm not as sure about the others.

Even though I picked Murray to win the USO, I was still less surprised by his loss to Cilic than I was by his loss to Verdasco at the AO. I think Cilic was more known as a threat to top players as well.

Davydenko over Federer was a massive upset.

I don't know if Kohlschreiber/Djokovic should be there, particularly in the context of Novak's confidence at the time. Also, he was unfairly getting zero press as a favorite or even contender, so it seems like an upset was expected there.

[attackDoold]

1. Roland Garros 4th Round – Robin Soderling d Rafael Nadal 6-2, 6-7(2), 6-4, 7-6(2)
2. US Open final – Juan Martin del Potro d Roger Federer 3-6, 7-6(5), 4-6, 7-6(4), 6-2
3. US Open 4th Round – Marin Cilic d Andy Murray 7-5, 6-2, 6-2
4. Roland Garros 3rd Round, Philipp Kohlschreiber d. Novak Djokovic 6-4, 6-4, 6-4
5. Rogers Cup quarter-finals, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga d. Roger Federer 7-6(5), 1-6, 7-6(3)

I think my list would be
1) Soderling d Nadal - RG 4th round
2) Del Potro d Federer - USO Final
3) Verdasco d Murray - AO 4th round
4) Davydenko d Federer - MC SF
5) *Roddick d Murray - W SF

*Upset is used loosely. It was memorable for the excellent play and revelations about both players.

[goctorsurger]

I don't know if Kohlschreiber/Djokovic should be there, particularly in the context of Novak's confidence at the time. Also, he was unfairly getting zero press as a favorite or even contender, so it seems like an upset was expected there.

I think we are viewing things skewed because of hindsight. I distinctly remember people saying that even though Roger won Madrid, Rafa and Novak were the favorites for Roland Garros, because of their performance during the entire clay season and because the Madrid surface was much different from Paris. How could anybody predict that Novak would be in a slump just after having played one of his best ever matches on clay? I mean it's true that Novak didn't play with much energy against PEHK, but why would that not be a surprise at that time?

[cigattIcTot]

I don't know if Kohlschreiber/Djokovic should be there, particularly in the context of Novak's confidence at the time. Also, he was unfairly getting zero press as a favorite or even contender, so it seems like an upset was expected there.

I remember being nearly positive that there was gonna be a Novak-Roger SF. I don't think his confidence was considered that low at the time. He had just had a clay court tournament win and had played Rafa very close on the dirt 3 times in a month or so. At the time, it seemed like a big upset but became less surprising as his year unfolded. But that same train of thought can be applied to Rafa-Soderling, which has become much less surprising to me as the facts of his knee problems and family troubles come to light. Looking in hindsight, the US Open final is the upset of the year for me. I still can't totally grasp that one in my mind.

[BamSaitinypap]

I agree with all of these, the order too. Even though there have since been revelations about Rafa's condition at the time of that loss, it was still the biggest upset ever because he'd never lost at RG. Remember when we were saying before the French that Rafa would win on one leg?

Ha! Here were my thoughts at the time, originally posted in Charlie's RG Odds Thread:

97%: Nadal wins, insists Federer is still the greatest.
1%: Swine flu outbreak, vomiting Nadal def. Federer in monogrammed SARS mask in straights.
1%: Williams sisters enter men's singles as a team, Nadal def. Williams/Williams in straights.
1%: Obama brings forth apocolypse, Nadal def. Pale Horseman in 4.