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Old 02-06-2009, 06:36 AM   #1
expabsPapsgag

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Default Your Personal RG % odds
Well, Roland Garros is just around the corner!

I thought it might be fun for us to come up with our own odds for it.

My idea is a little different than 2/1, 15/1... though.

Think Pie Chart! You have to list 5-10ish people and give them a %. You grand total should be 100.
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Old 02-06-2009, 06:40 AM   #2
expabsPapsgag

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We can do both ATP and WTA.

For the ATP, here are the clay points accumulated so far for certain standout players. (Nadal or Djokovic will earn another 400 for the Rome title)

Nadal -- 2100* points in 3 tournaments
Djokovic -- 1200* points in 2
Robredo -- 905 in 7
Gonzalez -- 790 in 3
Acasuso -- 550 in 7
Wawrinka -- 495 in 3
Federer -- 450 in 2
Verdasco -- 450 in 3
Ferrer -- 400 in 3
Murray -- 360 in 2
Davydenko -- 360 in 3
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Old 02-06-2009, 06:45 AM   #3
expabsPapsgag

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My ATP picks

Nadal 75%
Djokovic 10%
Federer 5%
Murray 5%
Gonzalez 2%
Ferrer 1%
Verdasco 1%
Davydenko 1%
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Old 02-06-2009, 06:50 AM   #4
sFs4aOok

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Awesome.

Mine: Nadal 90%
Federer 4%
Djokovic 2%
Murray 1%
Gonzalez 1%
Verdasco 1%
Ferrer 1%
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Old 02-06-2009, 06:52 AM   #5
secondmertg

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97%: Nadal wins, insists Federer is still the greatest.
1%: Swine flu outbreak, vomiting Nadal def. Federer in monogrammed SARS mask in straights.
1%: Williams sisters enter men's singles as a team, Nadal def. Williams/Williams in straights.
1%: Obama brings forth apocolypse, Nadal def. Pale Horseman in 4.
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Old 02-06-2009, 07:00 AM   #6
sFs4aOok

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ROFL
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Old 02-06-2009, 07:59 AM   #7
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Hmph, anything I would write would pale compared to mwoods.

100% Nadal wins.
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Old 03-05-2009, 08:14 AM   #8
suilusargaino

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99% Nadal
1% Hitman hired to do in Nadal
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Old 03-05-2009, 10:38 AM   #9
PyncGyncliacy

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97%: Nadal wins, insists Federer is still the greatest.
1%: Swine flu outbreak, vomiting Nadal def. Federer in monogrammed SARS mask in straights.
1%: Williams sisters enter men's singles as a team, Nadal def. Williams/Williams in straights.
1%: Obama brings forth apocolypse, Nadal def. Pale Horseman in 4.
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Old 03-05-2009, 11:41 AM   #10
Kimeoffessyr

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97%: Nadal wins, insists Federer is still the greatest.
1%: Swine flu outbreak, vomiting Nadal def. Federer in monogrammed SARS mask in straights.
1%: Williams sisters enter men's singles as a team, Nadal def. Williams/Williams in straights.
1%: Obama brings forth apocolypse, Nadal def. Pale Horseman in 4.
roflmao!!! love the only way nadal loses a set is to the pale horseman lol!

btw nadal will win the french even if he loses today in rome, or especially if he does. it will get him ultra-motivated and perhaps even a little peeved off. but if there is a god then the sentimental favourite could...?

nadal - 99.9%
federer - 0.01%
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Old 03-05-2009, 11:43 AM   #11
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I think mine would be something like:

Nadal 95%
Nadal gets injured beforehand 5%
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Old 03-05-2009, 12:35 PM   #12
FelixQY

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Nadal 99.99%
Field 00.01%
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Old 03-05-2009, 12:58 PM   #13
LkEHaduy

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Nadal- 90%

ONLY way I can see a different outcome is if Djokovic plays in Nadal's half of the draw:

Djokovic beats Nadal in the semis and goes on to win the title in 4 sets against Federer after being down a set and a break- 8.5%

Federer actually holds on to his lead in above scenario and completes the career slam- 1.5%

(Chances of either Federer or Djokovic to beat Nadal in the final: 0.00%)
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Old 03-05-2009, 01:17 PM   #14
PyncGyncliacy

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Nadal 80%
Semi-random surprise 8% (someone ranked 5-30)
Federer 6%
Djokovic 5%
Murray .7%
Random surprise .3% (someone ranked above 30)
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Old 03-05-2009, 02:01 PM   #15
expabsPapsgag

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Nadal 80%
Semi-random surprise 8% (someone ranked 5-30)
Federer 6%
Djokovic 5%
Murray .7%
Random surprise .3% (someone ranked above 30)
Nice list!
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Old 03-05-2009, 02:17 PM   #16
FelixQY

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Nadal 80%
Semi-random surprise 8% (someone ranked 5-30)
Federer 6%
Djokovic 5%

Murray .7%
Random surprise .3% (someone ranked above 30)
Surprised that you have Roger over Novak.
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Old 03-05-2009, 02:30 PM   #17
TypeTeasiaDer

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I'd still rank Djokovic and Federer about even. Federer was actually leading Djokovic multiple times the other day.

Like others, barring some unexpected injury I still expect Nadal to walk over everyone to the title. Only potentially close matches will be those above, but by the time he reaches them I think he'll be in the groove again.
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Old 03-05-2009, 04:17 PM   #18
EmxATW5m

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Nadal - 97.4%
Ondraskova - 2.6%

Two hottest players on clay right now!
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Old 03-05-2009, 04:21 PM   #19
gyjsdtuwr

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97%: Nadal wins, insists Federer is still the greatest.
1%: Swine flu outbreak, vomiting Nadal def. Federer in monogrammed SARS mask in straights.
1%: Williams sisters enter men's singles as a team, Nadal def. Williams/Williams in straights.
1%: Obama brings forth apocolypse, Nadal def. Pale Horseman in 4.
LOL

After Rafa I place Novak.
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Old 03-05-2009, 04:25 PM   #20
Penisvergroesserung

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Serena 25%
Safina 25%
Ivanovic 25%
Sveta 25%

Nadal 85%
Fed 5%
Nole 5%
Davydenko 5%
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