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Old 04-08-2008, 05:24 PM   #1
animilius

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Default Will Roger reclaim #1?
With just a calendar change allowing him to keep his # ranking for a couple of extra weeks, the question is now whether he can come back and reclaim that spot.
Also, how great is this accomplishment? 236 consecutive weeks at # 1 (correct me if the count is wrong, please). What other accomplishments can compare to this (by either him or other players)
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Old 04-08-2008, 05:28 PM   #2
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Where's the fourth option based on the logic? slams no, #1 yes? Not that I'm advocating that's the answer, just thinking it should be there.
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Old 04-08-2008, 05:28 PM   #3
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What other accomplishments can compare to this (by either him or other players)
I think 10 straight GS finals (and 17 SF) is his most impressive accomplishment. No one has ever come even close to that.
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Old 04-08-2008, 05:34 PM   #4
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Three years with 3 grand slams each is pretty impressive too. I don't believe this has been done by anybody else. Combined with the straight run of final appearances, I think this record will be very tough to break for anyone (including Roger ).
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Old 04-08-2008, 05:43 PM   #5
animilius

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Where's the fourth option based on the logic? slams no, #1 yes? Not that I'm advocating that's the answer, just thinking it should be there.
As you say, logically it should be there, but I simply do not see it. I know JJ is getting to number 1 without even being to a GS final, but I can only recall Marcelo Rios and Ivan Lendl becoming number 1 without winning a GS (Lendl of course did it afterwards).
With today's ranking system and depth in the men's tour, I think it would be impossible to reach number 1 without winning slams.
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Old 04-08-2008, 05:45 PM   #6
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He'll win more slams. Whether he is #1 is just math. I think Nadal would have trouble winning the French and Wimbledon back-to-back again. So, he could build on his less-than-Roger year, and get #1 back for a time. But, Roger is older and it won't be long until others crash the party. So, his next reign at #1 will be much shorter. To me, though, it is all about the major titles for him now.
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Old 04-08-2008, 05:50 PM   #7
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As you say, logically it should be there, but I simply do not see it. I know JJ is getting to number 1 without even being to a GS final, but I can only recall Marcelo Rios and Ivan Lendl becoming number 1 without winning a GS (Lendl of course did it afterwards).
With today's ranking system and depth in the men's tour, I think it would be impossible to reach number 1 without winning slams.
Actually, with his consistency in slams, it's quite likely he'll go deep at all four over and over. So, if someone is to believe he'll never win another slam, it's possible to also think he reaches several finals a year and wins enough other tournaments to be number 1. For example, if Djokovic and Nadal crash out of the USO early this year and don't win TMC and Fed loses the final to someone else, he'll only have to do marginally better than last year in the fall to end the year number 1.
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Old 04-08-2008, 05:51 PM   #8
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well, he won't have much to defend next year, so i think it's completely likely he could regain the top spot and i fully expect him to break Sampras' record for number of slams one. i sure hope so, anyway.
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Old 04-08-2008, 05:53 PM   #9
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I think 10 straight GS finals (and 17 SF) is his most impressive accomplishment. No one has ever come even close to that.
To me the most impressive feat is having won something like 19 or 20 straight finals played. That accomplishment truly defies logic.
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Old 04-08-2008, 05:59 PM   #10
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Old 04-08-2008, 06:54 PM   #11
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I'm much more convinced he'll be number 1 again than winning more slams.
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Old 04-08-2008, 07:11 PM   #12
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It's very likely that Rafa will struggle to defend all these points next year. Several reasons: He's susceptible to injury. It's unknown how he'll react to being the hunted, not the hunter, not to mention all of the sundry pressures and attention that visit the #1. Most of all, Murray's take this week: He said players believe they can beat Rafa more so than they thought they could beat Roger in 2005, 06. He thinks Rafa will be upset more than Roger was.

If Roger relaxes a little bit and geta a fire in his belly, I could easily see him trading #1 with Nadal and possibly Djokovic in the next few years.
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Old 04-08-2008, 07:32 PM   #13
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It's very likely that Rafa will struggle to defend all these points next year. Several reasons: He's susceptible to injury. It's unknown how he'll react to being the hunted, not the hunter, not to mention all of the sundry pressures and attention that visit the #1. Most of all, Murray's take this week: He said players believe they can beat Rafa more so than they thought they could beat Roger in 2005, 06. He thinks Rafa will be upset more than Roger was.

If Roger relaxes a little bit and geta a fire in his belly, I could easily see him trading #1 with Nadal and possibly Djokovic in the next few years.
Being a Rafa fan, I agree with this. I hope I'm dead wrong though. But I ask what other number 1 has dominated as Federer at his apex? Sampras, Lendl, Connors, etc. I really don't know, this is not rhetorical.
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Old 04-08-2008, 07:37 PM   #14
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Being a Rafa fan, I agree with this. I hope I'm dead wrong though. But I ask what other number 1 has dominated as Federer at his apex? Sampras, Lendl, Connors, etc. I really don't know, this is not rhetorical.
No one I can think of. Roger's 236 consecutive weeks at #1 is all the proof you need for that answer. Sampras lost the #1 ranking quite a few times, and finished the year #1 after some lucky breaks a couple times. That doesn't take away from his accomplishments, but it underscores the totality and rarity of Roger's dominance, and suggests that Rafa shouldn't expect to match Roger's run from 2004 to 2007.
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Old 04-08-2008, 07:41 PM   #15
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No one I can think of. Roger's 236 consecutive weeks at #1 is all the proof you need for that answer. Sampras lost the #1 ranking quite a few times, and finished the year #1 after some lucky breaks a couple times. That doesn't take away from his accomplishments, but it underscores the totality and rarity of Roger's dominance, and suggests that Rafa shouldn't expect to match Roger's run from 2004 to 2007.
Exactly. We've gotten used to a number 1 whose year end lost matches tally is a one digit number.
Rafa, and Novak in his time, will be more normal number ones. And that includes more upsets.
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Old 04-08-2008, 07:53 PM   #16
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Federer was as close to perfect as a player can be. Even now, his losses are a bit jolting.

He'll be back to Number 1, I'm sure. He's having a bad patch (not on his cheek) but he'll come around. I don't think it's a matter of other players figuring him out, it's all within Roger.
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Old 04-08-2008, 07:55 PM   #17
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The only person that I think can be compared in terms of dominance for a stretch of 4 years is Steffi. She also had several years of winning 3 slams (plus 88, when she won all four), and she is the one with the most weeks at number 1 (337, if I am right).
But indeed. Not that we are burying him, but time to appreciate how tough this 4 years at the top really are.
And also, the other records that not even Roger will beat (Connors' 109 tourneys, Pete's 6 years at the top, (put your favorite here...))
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Old 04-09-2008, 02:03 AM   #18
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For me...it isn't a matter of IF, it's a matter of WHEN and....for how long.

I for one, am convinced that there is going to be a bit of changing #1 between Rafa and Roger and....I really look forward to it.
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Old 04-09-2008, 03:21 AM   #19
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Roger is burned out this year! nothing more to him...Olympics, US Open or Masters Cup. But I see him returning to #1 after Miami 2009. If not, right after Wimbledon for sure! Slams??? He matches Sampras at 2009 Wimbledon and breaks the record of most GS's at Australia 2010! I would put money in my prediction!! lol
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