[pBiRXp8u]

Indeed times change. The trouble is we don't know which way. As it stands we have a technological and economic advantage over the Russians. As long as we maintain those we'll be fine (and given the huge difference in economic power it can be maintained). And there's always the threat of MAD to make sure that there's no actual invasion.

The Russians can become a threat, but they arn't one at the moment (nor is the EU one to Russia). Spending should be increased when they become a threat, the current spending is enough to cover the 'long-term strategic threat which didn't come out of it's shell yet' (it rimes!).

Indeed. The winds can blow either way and the Norns weave what they will. However, given the rhetoric coming out of Russia, I think we can get a pretty good indication of which way they are going. Does that mean was is assured? Of course not. But it does make the threat that much more real. Remove America from the equation of European defense and you may have Russia sensing an opportunity.

To be fair, I believe there are a few nations in Europe (both in and out of the EU) who view Russia as a threat.

All that said, should a spending increase ever become needed within the European militaries, the European governments face a very hard uphill climb in getting their people mentally ready. IMO, I don't think the average European has the spine to see their social benefits decrease in exchange for military spending.