[clapsoewmred]

And Al Gore was the Senator from Tennessee, for all the good that did him.

QFT

[PhillipHer]

He managed to win a gubernatorial election there so anything's possible. We know what the polls say but Mass. voters did vote for Romney before.


Looking at the electoral map, it's evident that Romney MUST win Florida. I don't see any way Romney could realistically win if Obama gets Florida.

You could also say he must win Texas. There's no way Romney could realistically win if Obama gets Texas. But the question is whether it would flip before other states. If Obama wins Florida, he also wins other states he would need.

[lopaayd]

Looking at the electoral map, it's evident that Romney MUST win Florida. I don't see any way Romney could realistically win if Obama gets Florida.

He could do it, but he'd have to pick up Pennsylvania, and that doesn't seem very likely this year.

[vesiasmepay]

http://www.270towin.com/2012_electio....php?mapid=kEd

Same as Rufus's

[Hetgvwic]

Please can an Obama love-child come out of the woodwork before November...

[NikkitaZ]

In the Rove framework, the strategy becomes pretty clear. Obama should decide whether to pour his heart and soul into denying one of the "2", or should he just defend all of the states I left "undecided" there?

The OH and FL pair are both slightly Republican-leaning in a typical 50-50 vote, which makes them scary to defend. In contrast, the nine states that could be potential tipping points for Romney are all quite Democratic-leaning, but that's a lot of states to defend.

I think Ohio in particular is going to be a tough win for the GOP this year, especially given the unpopularity of their governor.

[dasneycomrov]

It's certainly my favorite spectator sport.

[ardsdelinq]

Wins. Losses. Favorites. Rivalries.

[lidersontop]

Wins. Losses. Favorites. Rivalries.

Guys gathering together to intensely discuss statistics and possibilities in a knowing manner. Nobody has yet referred to Rubio as a "first-round draft pick" in my hearing, but I think it's only a matter of time.

[24MurinivaMak]

Nah it's different than sports because elections are purely a popularity contest. There's no 'game' where unpopular moves can come to fruition.

For example, the Jets will sell a lot of jerseys with Tebow on them (it was a popular move) but will Tebow necessarily improve their chance of winning games, especially as a backup QB? Probably not. That Tebow money could have been used on a quiet signing of a situational linebacker or a committee running back or something that would have helped the Jets team more.

Politics is different.

[crumoursegemo]

Romney might be able to overperform significantly in Massachusetts, but I can't see him winning it outright.

Definitely, Obamas polling something like 20 points ahead.

I think Ohio in particular is going to be a tough win for the GOP this year, especially given the unpopularity of their governor.

Obama currently 7 points ahead in Ohio. Looking positive so far.

[sharpyure]

Smutto.

What the **** is this?

[Theateetetuig]

The Brits still take interest in their colony that was led astray.

[farmarrl]

Obama currently 7 points ahead in Ohio. Looking positive so far.

Yeah, that's why he was campaigning in Ohio last weekend and reminding all those auto workers how he helped save their jobs while Romney wanted to let them all die.